Bluecrest AirliftBCA
Two-track assessment
Track 1
Statement-derived financial health
Confidential statement exchange (RapidRatings FHR) — audited statements, never made public
Track 2
Inferred financial risk
No carrier cooperation required (CreditRiskMonitor FRISK/PAYCE)
- 12-month distress probability
- 0.3%
- As of
- 2026-06
Operational ground truth
Government and public feeds USTRANSCOM already trusts.
Load factor % — trailing 8 quarters
Fuel exposure
Within toleranceForward fuel hedged (next 12 months)
62%
Fuel share of operating cost
31%
62% of forward fuel hedged against a 31% fuel share of operating cost — exposure is within tolerance.
AI executive snapshot
Generated 2026-07-06 06:40 UTC — every sentence resolves to a named source.
Bluecrest Airlift is the portfolio baseline for full-cooperation coverage: current audited statements through the confidential exchange, corroborated by every operational source.
Statement-derived FHR of 84/100 (improving) and a modeled FRISK of 9/10 agree; 12-month distress probability is 0.3%.
Load factor has risen for six consecutive quarters and 62% of forward fuel is hedged, leaving limited near-term exposure.
Confidence grade A: both tracks present, current, and in agreement.
Sources cited
- 1.RapidRatings FHR (confidential statement exchange) — Financial Health Rating: 84 / 100 (as of 2026-Q1)
- 2.CreditRiskMonitor FRISK — FRISK score (10 = lowest risk): 9 / 10 (as of 2026-06)
- 3.CreditRiskMonitor FRISK — 12-month probability of financial distress: 0.3% (as of 2026-06)
- 4.DOT-BTS Form 41 Schedule T-100 — System load factor: 86% and rising (as of 2026-Q1 filing)
- 5.EIA fuel-market series vs. disclosed hedge posture — Forward fuel hedged (next 12 months): 62% (as of 2026-06)